AngloINFO World Blogs Exclusive “Interview with a Cyprus Expat”
Jeremy Fram has been a full-time expat in Cyprus for almost nine years. He is the Director of Expat Financial Advice an “independent resource for anyone wishing to learn more about the offshore financial marketplace”. We asked Jeremy for his views on the bailout and if it affected his business and his longterm plans.
Q: Could you describe for me your feelings when you heard the initial plan to impose a 6.75 percent tax on savers with €100,000 and a 9.9 percent tax on savers with over €100,000?
A: I called it the great Cyprus bank robbery and I could not understand how anyone could be treated as unfairly as this whether by Cyprus or by Brussels. My feelings were made known on my facebook page for Expatriate Financial Advice and I had many people emailing me agreeing with my sentiments.
Q: The latest news in the international press suggests that wealthy Russian investors knew about the impending crisis and many were able to transfer their money off the island when the crisis broke on 17 March. How aware of the impending crisis were you?
A: It would seem that only people with “friends in high places” were aware of the impending announcements and decisions concerning the banking crisis, but in our role of advising the expatriate community regarding pensions, savings and other financial matters, we had recommended to our clients that they only keep the minimum amount required to live on for a couple of months in any Cyprus bank. This advice had been consistent for over three or four years as we believe that there has long been concerns regarding the Cypriot banking system.
Q: How have the banking restrictions affected your day-to-day living? Have you been able to purchase every day supplies? Did shops impose ‘rations’ as stocks of goods ran low?
A: The effect of the prolonged bank closures on day-to-day living was minimal at first but had an increasing influence as time went on. Cheques were not being cleared by the banks; people could not pay in money, invoices remained unpaid and suppliers of goods moved to cash only. It was a prime example of the saying “cash is king”. If you had cash, you could still buy most things you needed but the bank closures had a more detrimental effect on the economy which needed help and not more problems. I did not see any evidence of rationing, but some stocks were very low and not being replenished unless the buyers had cash to pay for them.
Q: How have the restrictions on movement of money in and out of the island affected your business?
A: As we do not directly handle clients’ money, the restrictions on the movement of money has been minimal, however our website, www.expatriatefinancialadvice.com was inundated with requests for help and information on what you could and could not do to try and get money in and out of Cyprus. The crisis has seriously dented the confidence in the Cypriot banks and to a certain extent the EU.
Q: Do you think that the final bailout deal was the right one for the island as a whole? Or do you think, as President Anastasiades recently said, that Cyprus has been used as a “guinea pig” by the EU?
A: My personal opinion is that Brussels (Merkel?) dictated to Cyprus their terms for help without any room for negotiation. I believe it was ‘take it or leave it’ and can’t help but wonder if the terms may not have been quite so onerous if it had not been near to elections in Germany.
Q: What is your opinion about whether Cyprus should cut its losses and leave the euro?
A: A very difficult question which can be answered in many ways. If Cyprus were to leave the Euro and fire up the Cyprus pound printing press, I would expect the value of the Cyprus pound to fall rapidly. This would be good for tourism and exports as Cyprus would become a ‘cheap’ destination again, but the value of everything else on the island such as property, cars, possessions etc. would also fall and this would not be popular with the average Cypriot voter!
Q: Could you comment on whether the financial problems have created any hostility between locals and expats?
A: None that I am aware of. The anger and hostility has been directed at Brussels and Germany, especially Angela Merkel and the people perceived to have dictated the bailout terms to Cyprus.
Q: Germany has insisted that Cyprus reduce the size of its banking industry, if Cyprus manages to do that which sector do you think could take its place?
A: Cyprus is hoping that the potential reserves of natural gas it has found off the coast of Cyprus will benefit the economy greatly, but I think it will be quite a few years before this will happen. Tourism will always be important and whilst the Brits are not here in the numbers that they used to be, the Russians certainly make up for it.
Q: How do you think the bailout will affect property prices and sales, which were already falling pre-bailout?
A: It will certainly not help but it could easily be argued that the prices were artificially inflated in the first place and that the current decreases are part of a much needed market correction.
Q: Now that the international press frenzy has moved on to another ‘story’ do you feel the plight of expats living on Cyprus has been abandoned?
A: I think that the word ‘plight’ means that everyone should feel sorry for the expats in Cyprus but I’m not sure why? Whilst I obviously feel sorry for anyone (expat or Cypriot) that will lose a proportion of their savings to help finance the bailout, I don’t see why expats are really any worse or better off than a while ago. Yes, the economic conditions are changing rapidly, but the affect that this will have on expats will depend on where their income is derived from to enable them to live in Cyprus. There are not many countries that are not experiencing financial difficulties so the ‘grass is not always greener’ elsewhere. Many expats have seen their purchasing power from their pensions decrease significantly over the last few years, but this is as a result of the strength of the Euro as opposed to the economic crisis in Cyprus. It may well be that a lowering of prices in Cyprus will be good for expats that live here and the economy as a whole.
Q: How has the banking crisis affected your plans to remain in Cyprus?
A: It has made little difference to be honest. As long as we can make enough money to enjoy our life in Cyprus, then here is as good as anywhere else and the sun makes everything look just that little bit better! There will be more challenges to face going forwards, but as long as you offer a good service for a reasonable price in a marketplace that people need, then you should be OK.
Q: If you could wave a magic wand how would you use it to improve Cyprus’ image as seen by the worldwide community?
A: It would be good to make the tourist industry much more competitive. At times people lose sight of the fact that Cyprus is probably not one of the world’s most sought after holiday destinations and so probably should not be more expensive than London or New York. Service with a smile might be nice too and a return to the more traditional Cypriot values of hospitality would bring people back to this beautiful island!